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MANIFOLD
Misery Index — market-implied unemployment + inflation (%)
7
Ṁ100kṀ2.1k
Oracle price
8.190%
Funding
+0.011%/hr
longs pay shorts
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Tracks Adjacent's Misery Implied Index (MSRY): the market-implied U-3 unemployment rate plus market-implied CPI-U year-over-year inflation for the next BLS releases, in percentage points.

Adjacent recalculates MSRY every minute. Manifold checks every 20 seconds, and a new value usually appears about 2½ minutes after its minute starts. Orders fill at the next value Adjacent computes after you place them, typically about 3 minutes later.

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One of the major criticisms of this site, from the few who know of it, is that it's a place where people gleefully bet on misery & death. Making that criticism literal is just so brilliant. Really diving into the negativity of the platform, well done