10. Major flare-up (significantly worse than anything in past 10 years) in Israel/Palestine conflict
0
Ṁ100resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
#ACX2021 https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-predictions-for-2021 #World
Biggest flare-up: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Israel%E2%80%93Palestine_crisis
Looks like under 300 deaths, which wouldn't be significantly worse than anything in last 10 years.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000