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MANIFOLD
How close will the presidential election be in Georgia?
12
Ṁ100Ṁ733
resolved Nov 10
100%99.1%Other
0.1%
[0-0.2%]
0.1%
[>.2-.4%]
0.1%
[>.4-.6%]
0.1%
[>.6-.8%]
0.1%
[>.8-1%]
0.1%
[>1-1.2%]
0.1%
[>1.2-1.4%]
0.1%
[>1.4-1.6%]
0.1%
[>1.6-1.8%]

In 2020, the presidential election in Georgia was quite close. Biden got around 49.47% of the vote, and Trump got around 49.24% of the vote, making the difference a mere .23%. Will the race be similarly close this year?

Percentages will be derived by taking the percentage of the vote total obtained by the person with a plurality of votes in the state, and subtracting that percentage by the percentage of the vote total obtained by the person who came in second place.

Although I have rounded the percentages to the nearest hundredth in my example from 2020 for the sake of brevity, for the purposes of this market no rounding will be done. I will be using exact percentages.

The domains here are inclusive. For example, a percentage lead of exactly .2% would go into the [0-0.2] range.

You are welcome to add new answers, but please do not add increments above .2 (although below that amount is perfectly fine). And more importantly, please ensure that your answer does not overlap with anyone else's so that this market can be resolved in a consistent fashion.

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With 99% reporting, I think this is safe to call.