Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if credible evidence emerges that corroborates any of the allegations made by William Sascha Riley. Credible evidence includes: (1) court filings, indictments, or official law enforcement statements; (2) authenticated documentary evidence (medical records, police reports, military records, flight logs); (3) corroborating testimony from independent witnesses with verifiable identities; or (4) investigative reporting from established news organizations that independently verifies specific claims.

The market also resolves YES if W.S. Riley dies under any circumstances within 2 Years of market creation regardless of cause.

The market resolves NO if no such credible evidence emerges by the resolution date.

Background

William Sascha Riley is claimed to be a decorated U.S. Army veteran with more than two decades of service. The allegations remain unverified by independent investigation as of January 2026, though Sascha Riley provides specific details about potential corroborating evidence including military records, police reports, hospital documentation, and individuals who could potentially verify aspects of his account. In the recordings, Riley alleges that Donald Trump, Jeffrey Epstein, Clarence Thomas, Lindsey Graham, Jim Jordan, Andy Biggs, and others sexually and physically assaulted him, or were present at events where children were abused. Not a single one of the claims has been authenticated by any courts of law and law enforcement agencies or reputable news organizations.

Considerations

The journalist who published Riley's testimony has not independently verified his claims and is reporting what he said, not asserting that his claims are substantiated. Independent researchers have compiled public records placing Riley squarely within Epstein's orbit, which does not prove every claim made by Sascha Riley, but it does establish that the individual he identifies as his trafficker existed, operated, and interacted within the network.