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Inspired by @MartinKrag's prediction in his post: https://martinkrag.substack.com/p/vc-market-3-takeaways-from-23-and
According to dealroom, there were ~35k Pre/Seed deals done in 2023. This market will resolve "yes" if there is conclusive and clear evidence that 2024 had more deals than this, as determined a few days into 2025 (i.e. at a similar time into the year as right now, to account for similar levels of lagging reporting).
I will attempt to find the equivalent of this report for 2024. If I cannot find the same report, I will resort to a different source for the same metric and use the same source for 2023 to compare against and resolve the market based on that
https://dealroom.co/uploaded/2023/12/Global-end-of-2023-Venture-Unwrapped-Dealroom.pdf?x75722