There will be more early stage VC rounds done in 2024 than in 2023
There will be more early stage VC rounds done in 2024 than in 2023
21
1kṀ2186
Jan 5
24%
chance

Inspired by @MartinKrag's prediction in his post: https://martinkrag.substack.com/p/vc-market-3-takeaways-from-23-and

According to dealroom, there were ~35k Pre/Seed deals done in 2023. This market will resolve "yes" if there is conclusive and clear evidence that 2024 had more deals than this, as determined a few days into 2025 (i.e. at a similar time into the year as right now, to account for similar levels of lagging reporting).

I will attempt to find the equivalent of this report for 2024. If I cannot find the same report, I will resort to a different source for the same metric and use the same source for 2023 to compare against and resolve the market based on that

https://dealroom.co/uploaded/2023/12/Global-end-of-2023-Venture-Unwrapped-Dealroom.pdf?x75722

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I am waiting for Dealroom to release a report with a similarly measure number that I can compare the 35k to

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