Will Jimmy Carter be alive during a year with 0 cases of Guinea worm?
6
49
240
2025
60%
chance

Jimmy Carter has famously donated large sums of money to eradicating Guinea worm. Will he achieve this dream in his lifetime?

Currently there are 0 cases reported for 2024. If there are 0 cases finalised in 2024, resolves YES. If Carter survives into 2025, 26,.....2050, if on at least one of those years 0 cases of Guinea worm are reported, will resolve YES.

If he dies in 2024, it will resolve NO if a Guinea worm case is reported. Will resolve for provisional cases but may unresolve if they are later reclassified.

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