Will Jimmy Carter be alive during a year with 0 cases of Guinea worm?
Basic
9
Ṁ1903
2025
3%
chance

Jimmy Carter has famously donated large sums of money to eradicating Guinea worm. Will he achieve this dream in his lifetime?

Currently there are 0 cases reported for 2024. If there are 0 cases finalised in 2024, resolves YES. If Carter survives into 2025, 26,.....2050, if on at least one of those years 0 cases of Guinea worm are reported, will resolve YES.

If he dies in 2024, it will resolve NO if a Guinea worm case is reported. Will resolve for provisional cases but may unresolve if they are later reclassified.

#Jimmy Carter
#Death markets
#Health
#Longevity
#Effective Altruism
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bought Ṁ75 NO

A case has been reported for a human in 2024:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eradication_of_dracunculiasis#:~:text=As%20of%20June%202024%2C%20there,to%20be%20reported%20in%20animals.

bought Ṁ50 NO

Thank you, so he will need to live into 2025 at least. Best of luck, Jimmy 🍀

Source will be https://www.cartercenter.org/health/guinea_worm/case-totals.html

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