https://www.beeminder.com/mad is my goal page so you can see my goals and current status.
Responses must be in the form of the goal slug - that is, the term in the url that is used for the goal. If it's not, it won't count (nb, I will use common sense if and only if there's no prediction using the correct slug)
I may or may not have private goals, so I have added a place holder option that will be correct if a private goal is the first to derail.
I derail about 2-3 times per year. The goal I most recently derailed on was "feedfish" in early June.
This will resolve with the name of the next goal I derail on (ie get a "legitimacy check" email for) even if the derailment in question is ultimately marked "non-legit".
I will not trade in this market.