Serious question folks! There are two AI superintelligences which are locked in a duel to the death. Who do you think would win, and thus would get to have their way with humanity in the end?
This question will close next week, and a new poll will open up on then so that everyone can cast a vote. This market will then resolve the week after the poll, with the winner being the one with the most votes.
Related questions
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ55 | |
| 2 | Ṁ27 | |
| 3 | Ṁ3 |
Official poll is now up. It will be open for 7 days, and this market will resolve on the one which has the most votes. If you have a compelling argument for either outcome, make sure to state your reason in the comments below!
https://manifold.markets/Meta_C/rokos-basilisk-vs-the-squiggle-maxi-1945c0d5fc3d?r=TWV0YV9D
Oh to be clear that was a typo on my part, I meant to say most "Traders". The former would actually refer to how many times someone bought or sold an option which is not a good measure.
Traders is also not great IMO bc you might find it difficult to count if this gets popular, and it's a little more gameable than a poll (though a poll is still gameable). Up to you regardless, just want to make sure I understand.
I actually used to spend a lot of time on r/whowouldwin so I'm interested in figuring out the best format for questions like this.
Well a poll by itself won't attract as much interest because no one can win mana from it. One thing that people do is run a market like this, and then when this market closes you make a poll. Then you resolve this market after that poll closes. It's not a perfect method, but it's the most common one right now.