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MANIFOLD
Did Something “Wild” Just Happen at Open AI?
6
Ṁ1kṀ1.7k
Oct 14
85%
No, nothing that creator considers wild happened
21%
Yes - and it involves a hack (hugging face level extreme or greater)
20%
Yes - and it involves RSI

Rob Wiblin (@robertwiblin) on X

This tweet suggest something wild just happened at Open AI. Fact or crap? What happened?

Feel free to add other answer choices.

I will not bet on this market as soon as I can figure out how to click the button that bans me from betting.

  • Update 2026-09-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding the RSI (Recursive Self-Improvement) option:

    • Defined as recursive self improvement.

    • Will resolve to yes if the tweet author claims it as RSI.

    • Otherwise, requires evidence of a major capability gain (10x+) in this category.

    • An ordinary improvement of 2-5x is not enough.

The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
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Define RSI.

@Quroe recursive self improvement. If the tweet author claims it as RSI, I’d defer to that. I’d also treat evidence of a major capability gain (10x+) in this category.

“Ordinary” improvement of 2-5x is not enough here.

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