Will president Medvedev make predictions for 2024 by January 5th?
Will president Medvedev make predictions for 2024 by January 5th?
9
170Ṁ3414resolved Jan 4
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Last year, President Medvedev made a Twitter thread with his predictions for 2023. It seems he didn't get any of them right, but one can wonder if he'll try again this time.
If he posts elsewhere, but it shares the same cynical spirit, I'll also resolve to YES.
I may bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ241 | |
| 2 | Ṁ35 | |
| 3 | Ṁ11 | |
| 4 | Ṁ2 |
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2025?
94% chance
Will Dmitri Medvedev be the next president of Russia?
4% chance
Will russia have a new president by the end of 2025?
7% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2025?
96% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2027?
85% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2027?
86% chance