Will piracy make a comeback by Dec 2025?
closes 2026

I will consider piracy making a comeback if the mainstream media reports so with meaningful coverage and at least one Hollywood executive (Netflix, Apple, Amazon, WBD, Paramount, Disney, Comcast...) complains about piracy meaningfully attacking their business to shareholders.

Close date updated to 2025-12-31 11:59 pm

Related markets

Will Blockbuster make a comeback in 2023?15%
Will there be credible reports of major, successful IP theft against Anthropic by the end of 2023?12%
Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025?11%
Will Netflix drop the binge-watching model by Jul 2024?31%
Will Winamp actually return in 2022?12%
Will Bytedance be banned in the US by 2025?54%
Will the Internet Archive be available in 2046?78%
Will SciHub or a successor organisation exist and be uploading new articles in 2023?70%
Will a non-crappy video equivalent of dall-e be published before June 2023?22%
Will my scooter be stolen in 2023?32%
Will I be cancelled by 2025?3%
Will the kick.com streaming platform still exist in 2024?84%
Will Steamboat Willie enter the public domain on January 1st 2024?80%
Will Deemind release something innovative by the end of 2023?77%
Will Flesh and Blood still have a strong competitive scene in 2025?48%
Is 2023 the year the last Blockbuster closes?13%
Will Mickey Mouse enter the public domain on Jan 1st, 2024?80%
Will there be a renewed pace of VC investment by end of 2023?53%
Will Tom Cruise by the end of 2023?25%
Will the UK implement a general exception to copyright for "text and data mining" by the end of 2024?69%