Will incest promotion become the 1st thing people think about the Effective Autruism/Less Wrong complex by 2025?
7
67
Ṁ270Ṁ190
2026
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
My girlfriend send this post in the effective autruism reddit where people are promoting incest.
By 2025 year end, I'll use my judgement of what is the biggest thing people think about Effective Autruism, Less Wrong, and Rationalism. If that's incest, I'll resolve my market to YES.
I won't bet.
Reddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/EffectiveAltruism/s/5yZ32NDt6Q
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will we believe that AI character bots make it harder for kids to form human friendships by 2028?
43% chance
Will expressive negative opinions on people with AI partners be considered hate speech by 2030?
27% chance
By end of 2025, will addiction to AI-generated content be a thing?
38% chance
By 2028, will fully AI generated explicit NSFW movies be commonplace?
62% chance
Will AI Addiction be recognized and as common as video game addiction by 2026?
40% chance
Will John von Neumann clones aged 20 or older be more likely to identify as LGBTQ+ than the general population?
44% chance
Will it be revealed that at least 3 people with Wikipedia articles have done IQ selection on their children before 2028?
43% chance
Will I find autism (or rather, allism) to be an ideology during 2023?
27% chance
Can we cure at least one autoimmune disease in humans by 2028?
40% chance
Will AI-generated pornographic video become mainstream by 2026?
74% chance