According to Elon Musk, the most entertaining outcome is the most likely.

This market will solve to YES if I consider the resolution to the debt ceiling showdown entertaining.

Here's a non-exaustive list of entertaining outcomes:

• Defaulting would be entertaining

• Shuttle down the government would be entertaining

• Suing for the 14th amendment would be entertaining

• Minting the coin

• Selling bonds with low to zero colateral

• A handful of Republicans helps the Democrats to approve a motion to discharge

• The list goes on

I don't bet on this market.