Will a self-identified Peronist win the 2023 Argentina presidential election?
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resolved Nov 19
Resolved
NO

If a self-described peronist by the mainstream media wins the elections, which includes Kirchner, Fernandez, Massa, and so on, this market resolves to YES.

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bought Ṁ500 of NO

Massa admitted defeat

bought Ṁ150 of NO

https://twitter.com/electo_mania/status/1726361299318124895

Datos que maneja Bullrich y ha comunicado a La Libertad Avanza

:

Javier Milei: 53%

Sergio Massa: 47%

THE OFFICIAL DATA FROM THE 21 GMT-3

predicted NO
predicted YES
predicted YES

Was Bullrich a self-identified Peronist? Not that they can win anymore, but curious as she once was very Peronist.

predicted NO

@MaybeNotDepends she was anti-peronist

this market massively overstates the probability of the FdT getting re-elected

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