At midnight Nov 5th, will NYT's Needle calling a higher probability of victory to a democrat presidential candidate?
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1kṀ1666resolved Nov 6
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At 23h59 November 5th 2024, New York time, I'll check who the Neddle is giving a higher probability of winning. If that's a democratic presidential candidate, this market will solve to YES.
If the NYT stops posting the needle, but Nate Cohn does it elsewhere, I'll solve wherever he's doing that. If there's no NYT needle nor a Nate Cohn needle, this market resolves to N/A.
In any other scenario, this market will resolve to NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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