Which cities are 9 and 10 for Fred again’s USB tour?
1
275Ṁ396
Dec 17
48%
Mexico City
48%
San Francisco

Where will the last 2 stops for USB002 be? Resolves yes for each of the two cities Fred announces.

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@mods is it possible to resolve this. creator has been inactive for a day. ty!

@prismatic looks like vancouver was #9 so resolved evenly to both

@Stralor I think this resolution is incorrect. Vancouver was the week 8 city. Week 9 was just announced this Sunday to be SF. Week 10 hasn't been announced (will be announced next Sunday on Fred's Instagram). The tour has been super confusing because it's supposed to be popups, but basically, all LLMs aren't understanding it correctly, and will mistakenly give Vancouver as week 9.

Evidence SF is week 9 from his Instagram story: https://www.reddit.com/r/fredagain/comments/1pb1reu/aight_its_official_again/

@Stralor Also still new to this, but was the market set up incorrectly, which is why they are both splitting to 50%?

@prismatic I was going based on Billboard's article -> https://www.billboard.com/lists/fred-again-10-shows-10-cities-usb002-tour-photos/

I can unresolve if need be, since we can't resolve both to YES

@prismatic yep seems like it

@Stralor oh god I just noticed Billboard counted week 6 as a "bye" week which is why I'm off-by-one

@Stralor haha yeah, was just about to mention that

@Stralor unresolving until city 10

bought Ṁ10 YES

@Stralor I'm very confused on how to make money on this market with this 50% resolving thing. Do I bet up SF/Mexico City to 100% or 50% and then bet everything else down?

opened a Ṁ500 NO at 52% order

@prismatic dependent/ "linked" MCs are tricky. since this'll resolve to 50%, you want to move towards that number, not past it. For optimal returns, I recommend not buying NO in something since it's equivalent to a YES in everything else (which is incorrect). I like to stick a limit order up on one option to hold it in place while I buy up the other option I'm chasing. It's hard to get an even spread, but it prevents the most slippage

fwiw I've put up limits on SF at 48 YES and 52 NO to capture any slippage. you could do similar

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