
Will Nancy Pelosi resign her Congressional seat in 2023?
16
closes Jan 1
2%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ371 +3619.0%
New probability
3% +0.8%
Will Nancy Pelosi resign her position in the US House of Representatives in 2023?
Background article: "How Nancy Pelosi’s Big Retirement Decision Could Change 2023" https://sfstandard.com/politics/nancy-pelosi-retirement-elections-san-francisco/
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What do you all think if I modify this to "Will Pelosi vacate her US House seat in 2023?" to account for death or incapacity?
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