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MANIFOLD
At least 50 confirmed human cases of H5 type Influenza A in the USA between November 4th, 2026 and July 1st, 2027?
3
Ṁ250Ṁ33
2027
52%
chance

Will resolve to YES if there are 50 or more confirmed cases of H5 type Influenza A Virus infections in humans recorded in the USA between November 4th, 2026 and July 1st, 2027 (inclusive). This includes, for example, H5N1 and H5N5.

Note:

  • I don't mean 50 cases of one specific H5 Influenza A Virus- any combination that totals 50 or more human cases in the USA will suffice.

  • Cases need to have been reported by a US state, territory, tribal, or federal agency within the date range.

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@traders Apologies, I realized I screwed up and left the question underspecified. Edited title and description to limit scope to:
- The period of time between November 4th, 2026 and July 1st, 2027
- Cases recorded in the USA