Each day starting on the solstice (21 June 2023) I will generate a random number R from 1 to 100 inclusive with uniform distribution.

If R equals the probability of this market at the time R was generated, this market will immediately resolve as YES.

This experiment will repeat as needed until on 22 September 2023 the final possible trial is run. If R does not match on that day the market will resolve as NO.