12
82
1k
Nov 6
69%
chance

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Background

The voter turnout rate is calculated by dividing the total number of votes cast by the total number of registered voters, and then expressing the result as a percentage.

Here's the Oregon voter turnout rate for the last 10 general elections:

2020 - 78.50%

2016 - 80.33%

2012 - 82.80%

2008 - 85.67%

2004 - 86.48%

2000 - 79.80%

1996 - 71.31%

1992 - 82.36%

1988 - 80.81%

1984 - 78.69%

Source: Oregon Voter Turnout History for General Elections (2022-1960) [PDF]


Market Resolution

This market will resolve YES if:

  • The voter turnout rate for the 2024 General Election is greater than 78.50%

This market will resolve NO if:

  • The voter turnout rate for the 2024 General Election is less than or equal to 78.50%

The market will resolve based on data from the Oregon Secretary of State. Market will close on 5 Nov 2024. Market resolution may be delayed until data is released.


Disclaimer

I do not bet on markets I create in order to avoid motivated reasoning. Any changes to market description will be noted in a change log.

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