Will Ashli Babbitt's estate win a monetary judgement against the US government?
10
190Ṁ566
2026
93%
chance

Background

On 5 Jan 2024, Judicial Watch filed a lawsuit in California federal court on behalf of Ashli Babbitt's estate against the US Government. The suit lists seven alleged charges:

Charge I - Assault and Battery
Charge II - Negligence [on behalf of Lt. Byrd] (Negligent Use of Firearm, Negligent Perception / Assessment of Imminent Threat, Negligent Use of Force Levels / Failure to De-Escalate, Negligent Perception / Assessment of Facts, Negligent Failure to Warn, Negligent Firing Into a Crowd, and Negligent Obtaining of Timely Medical Aid)

Charge III - Negligence [on behalf of other law enforcement officers]

Charge IV - Negligent Supervision, Discipline, and Retention of Lt. Byrd

Charge V - Negligent Training

Charge VI - Survival Action

Charge VII - Wrongful Death

The plaintiffs are requesting a judgement of $30 million (plus costs and interests).

Court Filing - https://www.judicialwatch.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Estate-of-Ashli-Babbitt-and-Arron-Babbitt-et-al.-v.-U.S.A-1.pdf


Market Resolution
The market will resolve YES if:

  • The courts rule against the defendants and award any amount up to, including, or beyond the requested judgment of $30 mil to Babbitt's estate

  • The case is settled outside of court for a specified or unspecified amount

The market will resolve NO if:

  • The courts rule against the plaintiffs

  • The courts dismiss the lawsuit

The market will resolve N/A if:

  • The plaintiffs withdraw the lawsuit

  • The judicial system dissolves

The market will remain open until lawsuit is settled.

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