Will Katalin Karikó Win a Nobel Prize in 2025?
Basic
10
Ṁ1862Dec 31
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Katalin Karikó (see Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Katalin_Karik%C3%B3) pioneered the science behind mRNA vaccines. She has many of the major awards that normally preceed a Nobel Prize (Japan Prize, Lasker, &c), but has not yet won a Nobel Prize.
Resolves YES if she wins any Prize in 2025 even if shared.
This market will resolve once all the science prizes are announced (or earlier if she announced as a winner), which should be the case by mid October 2025.
Note that this market is for 2025 specifically, if she wins in 2023 or 2024, that will not count towards this market! A potential earlier win will also not immediately resolve NO because there is a chance she will be awarded a Prize in multiple years.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Katalin Karikó Win a Nobel Prize in 2027?
6% chance
Will Katalin Karikó Win a Nobel Prize in 2026?
4% chance
What will be true about the next person to win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2025?
Will Susan Athey win a Nobel Prize before 2030?
43% chance
Who will win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2025?
Will a Korean win a Nobel prize in one of the science categories in 2025, 2026, or 2027?
41% chance
Will a Korean win a Nobel Prize in one of the science categories from 2025-2028 inclusive?
41% chance
Can Korean scientists get Nobel prize by 2035 ?
66% chance
Will a Korean win a Nobel Prize in one of the science categories in 2025 or 2026?
39% chance
Will Taylor Swift ever win a Nobel Prize?
9% chance