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MANIFOLD
Will I date Aella: a (theoretic) risk-free arbitrage opportunity for you
2
Ṁ70Ṁ370
resolved Dec 14
Resolved
NO

If "Aella and Lsusr go on a first date by Dec 13, 2023" is trading at a lower % than this market, then you can earn a risk-free profit by betting "YES" on "Aella and Lsusr go on a first date" and "NO" on this market.

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Make sure to keep your bets small so that the spread doesn't overwhelm your profits! Also notice that you should not place two bets of equal value. You

should place two bets that hedge each other. For example, one bet of 10Ṁ that pays 100Ṁ if you win, and another bet of 100Ṁ that pays 10Ṁ if you win.

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Resolution criteria: Identical to "First date by Dec 13?" on manifold.love

- If I go on a date with Aella, then Aella's market resolves "YES" and this market resolves "YES". You earn mana on the Manifold.love market and lose mana on this market. (You win arbitrage profits.)

- If I do not go on a date with Aella, then Aella's market resolves "NO" and this market resolves "NO". You earn mana on the Manifold.love market and lose mana on this market. (You win arbitrage profits.)

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