Will Lorxus get at least an interview from SERI MATS? [Winter 2023]
3
90
แน€90
resolved Dec 6
Resolved
NO

Lorxus has applied to the SERI ML Alignment Theory Scholars Program. They spent time from 2023-11-01~07 writing their answers to the application questions.

The market resolves YES if Lorxus gets an interview with SERI MATS or is hired without interview. It resolves NO if they are rejected out of hand. The market may thus resolve early, and without warning; the close date is expected to be well after the point by which they will have heard any rejection or acceptance.

A few relevant facts:
-SERI MATS has said that it will announce its decisions ~early December 2023.
-Lorxus has recently (~2.5 y) completed their math PhD. They are a published paper author. They know category theory, and this seems to have been relevant to at least one application question (Davidad).

-Lorxus believes the application questions to have been well within their abilities, and genuinely believes their answers were good, to the best of their ability.

-Lorxus has spent a lot of time in the ratsphere, and has a standing interest in AI alignment. They also went through John Wentworth's offsite track at SERI MATS Summer 2023.

-Lorxus applied to work with: Jesse Clifton, Davidad, Owain Evans, Caspar Oesterheld, Buck Shlegeris, and Francis Rhys Ward.

-Lorxus will answer further questions of fact on their relevant personal details in the comments in exchange for enough marbles. (Enough might be zero.)

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I have thus far been rejected without interview by 5 out of 6.

predicted YES

I completed the surprise coding test