Will any of Lorxus's Frost-Rimed Packet of Hiatused Fics see another substantive update by 2024-12-31?
9
92
แน€170
2025
40%
chance

https://www.glowfic.com/indexes/26 is a list of hiatused glowfics that I really like and that I hope will be updated. Will any of them see a good-faith substantive update before 2025 begins?

I will exercise good faith in resolving this market. "At least one minor plot beat" and "At least 1k words of comparable quality to previous replies" would both qualify.

I will post a large NO limit as a combination of prediction, decaying bounty, and emotional hedging.

For the purposes of resolution of this market, "the prodigal sorceress" will not count.

The definitive list of them is in the image above; any new ones I add will not count, and I won't remove any unless they update substantively, at which point the market will resolve YES anyway.

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predicts NO

I saw this resolve NO 5 days ago, but now it appears to have been reopened with the close date changed. What's going on?

predicts NO
predicts NO

@Forrest I fucked up and resolved a year early.

sold แน€95 of NO

@Lorxus Title says NYE 2024, though I see now that the description doesn't.

predicts NO

@Forrest Possibly I was unclear. NYE 2024 is "the day called New Year's Eve, which falls within the year 2024." I think I made the same mistake myself when I was going through my end-of-year markets.