https://tontine.cash/ is a MSCHF game. On 2021-12-27, 7141 players each paid $10 into a central pot and have been required to check in at least once a day by midnight EST/EDT or else be eliminated. The last remaining player will win the pot. As of 2023-11-21, 328 players remain.
The market resolves on the EST-morning of 2024-1-1 to the choice whose range inclusively-contains the living player count. It resolves to the appropriate bounding value if the true number is outside the range of other choices. It resolves to N/A should Tontine be canceled.
Any value duplicated between endpoints in the ranges above shall be treated for the purposes of resolution as belonging entirely to the lower range, eg, a population of 302 would resolve to 299~302 and not 302~305.
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| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ132 | |
| 2 | Ṁ68 | |
| 3 | Ṁ54 | |
| 4 | Ṁ3 |
@ChristopherRandles Hi, my bad! I don't think I can edit it now, but each of those duplicate values shall be treated as falling only into the lower bracket, that is, if I weren't half-asleep when I made this market, the ranges might more correctly be:
≤289
290~298
299~302
303~305
306~307
308~315
≥316