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I meant to link to https://manifold.markets/Lorenzo/will-william-macaskill-be-a-speaker

Made a follow-up market for London: https://manifold.markets/Lorenzo/will-william-macaskill-speak-at-ea

was a program just posted, is that why this moved?

@Rodeo Yes, the swapcard with the agenda was opened 2 days ago. Opening talk by Toby Ord, no MacAskill to be found.

I think this is an interesting question and is probably more pivotal than many (& likely he included) would suspect.
We shall see.

@GeorgeVii in way is it pivotal in your view?

@Rodeo fwiw https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/rsnrpvKofps5Py7di/shutting-down-the-lightcone-offices?commentId=8LoPH39ZGcGqm3amn

The philosopher king had a chance to be a leader/be transparent/reassure/redeem/re-build/come-clean/myriad of other options - he took none - so now ppl will come for his head & likely take it. (not sure how relevant the apperance would actually have been, hard to stop an oncoming train, but seemed like an indicator of where we were and things to come..)

leadership is important for many movements, perhaps we'll see a change in the "models" the community runs on in 5 years. Perhaps this is what i was thinking when i used that phrase idk. I probably wouldnt use it if i wrote comment again, more on an interesting datapont than a pivotal act or something, anyway ...