Will Anthropic release a new model stronger than Haiku 4.5 before June 16?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ30Jun 15
47%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Needs to be available in Claude Code
Haiku >=4.6, Sonnet >=4.7, Opus >= 4.8 and any other model stronger than Haiku 4.5 resolve yes. Needs to be stronger than Haiku 4.5 based on Anthropic release statements.
Resolves at UTC time
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Anthropic release an open-weights model in 2026?
14% chance
Battle of the version numbers: OpenAI still leads Anthropic (5.2>4.5), through til mid 2026?
95% chance
Will Anthropic release a first-party image generation model in 2026?
41% chance
Battle of the version numbers: OpenAI still leads Anthropic (5.2>4.5), through til mid 2027?
67% chance
Will Anthropic release a (competetive) opensource LLM in the next 3 years?
39% chance