One Year from now, will GPT-5 (or another AI model) be able to write a sophisticated 2000 line program
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Nov 16
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chance

One year from today (11-16-2023), will GPT-5 (or another AI model) be able to write a sophisticated 2000 line program?

An example of what I mean by a "sophisticated program" would be: "write a gatcha game similar to Genshin Impact where all of the art is generated using AI models"

Specific technical requirements:

The program

  • is at least 2000 lines of code

  • has multiple user interfaces

  • Involves storing/retrieving/modifying multiple types of objects from a database

  • has multiple concurrent threads

  • the flow of the program depends in some significant way on the count/states of different objects in the database

  • The program depends on combining the output of multiple cutting edge AI models

  • At least one of the models is less than 30 days old (meaning code that could run the model did not exist 30 days earlier)

The Challenge:

  • The AI will be given a design document in plain English of no more than 500 words.

    • The document may include suggestions such as "use library X" or "use model Y"

    • the document may include a flow diagram (in text) of how the program should operate.

  • The AI must then write the entire program without human intervention

    • it is allowed to use methods such as Code Interpreter or Web Browsing, the only thing it cannot do is receive human assistance

  • The AI must produce a complete program which runs correct and meets all of the requirements in the design document

  • The AI can have as many "tries" as it wants, provided it correctly identifies which is the successful program (a human is not allowed to pick the best program for the computer)



Get Ṁ200 play money