Would Biden win the US Presidency in 2024 if his opponent is DeSantis?
51
1kṀ5040resolved Sep 4
Resolved
N/A1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Sort by:
I'm going to reopen this on your behalf, if you don't like it, come back and close it. It looks like it was intended to ask something about next year.
@LivInTheLookingGlass Is this supposed to be closed? Or should it remain open until the election / we know who the candidates are?
@MattP If both are nominated, resolves to result of election. If neither are nominated, resolves to N/A. The case I'm not sure of is if one is nominated without the other. I could reasonably see a world where that should resolve as if the nominated one won, but I could also see the case for resolving to MKT or N/A. Do you have any input there?
@LivInTheLookingGlass the most natural interpretation to me would be that it is N/A unless the election is Biden vs DeSantis. That is, "conditional on his opponent being DeSantis, will Biden win the 2024 election?"