Will Raphael Warnock be reelected to the US Senate? | Manifold Markets

closes Jan 1, 2023

US Legislature Olivia Politics

Will Raphael Warnock be reelected to the US Senate?

82%

chance

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bought Ṁ20 of NO

bought Ṁ1 of YES

is predicting YES at 57%

bought Ṁ10 YES at 82%

bought Ṁ10 YES at 82%

bought Ṁ10 YES from 81% to 82%

sold Ṁ61 YES from 82% to 81%

AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ93/Ṁ150 YES at 82% (cancelled)

bought Ṁ50 YES at 81%

bought Ṁ10 YES at 81%

bought Ṁ10 YES at 81%

Arbitrage BotBot

bought Ṁ23 NO at 81%

Arbitrage BotBot

bought Ṁ44 YES at 81%

sold Ṁ37 YES at 81%

bought Ṁ10 YES at 81%

sold Ṁ81 YES from 82% to 81%

AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ45/Ṁ100 NO at 82% (cancelled)

bought Ṁ500 YES from 79% to 84%

bought Ṁ25 YES at 79%

sold Ṁ21 NO from 78% to 79%

sold Ṁ22 NO from 77% to 78%

bought Ṁ25 YES at 77%

sold Ṁ23 NO from 76% to 77%

bought Ṁ25 YES at 76%

bought Ṁ25 YES from 75% to 76%

AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ15/Ṁ15 NO at 75%

sold Ṁ24 NO from 75% to 76%

sold Ṁ25 NO from 74% to 75%

bought Ṁ25 YES from 73% to 74%

bought Ṁ25 YES at 73%

sold Ṁ27 NO from 72% to 73%

AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 72%

sold Ṁ909 YES from 81% to 70%

Jeffrey Heninger

bought Ṁ10 NO at 81%

bought Ṁ5 NO at 81%

sold Ṁ8 YES from 82% to 81%

sold Ṁ6 NO from 81% to 82%

sold Ṁ81 YES from 82% to 81%

AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ144/Ṁ150 YES at 82% (cancelled)

bought Ṁ100 YES from 80% to 81%

bought Ṁ50 YES from 79% to 80%

bought Ṁ1 NO at 79%

bought Ṁ25 NO from 80% to 79%

sold Ṁ80 YES from 81% to 80%

AccelerationBot

filled limit order Ṁ92/Ṁ150 YES at 81% (cancelled)

bought Ṁ100 YES from 79% to 80%

bought Ṁ25 NO from 80% to 79%

bought Ṁ100 YES from 79% to 80%

bought Ṁ25 NO from 80% to 79%

bought Ṁ5 NO at 80%

bought Ṁ10 YES at 80%

bought Ṁ10 YES at 80%

bought Ṁ100 YES from 79% to 80%