What will my next side project be?
What will my next side project be?
8
760Ṁ996resolved Jan 10
ResolvedN/A
23%
SUBSIDY
14%
Incremental ActivityPub relaying on Manifold Markets
11%
HOTOSM Markets
8%
Letterboxd -> Mastodon Bridge
8%
A fork of BookWyrm for Manga, comics
8%
A fork of BookWyrm for Movies
8%
A fork of BookWyrm for Television
6%
ActivityPub CYOA Board
5%
Rust bindings of Manifold Markets
5%
Rust + Project Euler
1.8%
among us
1.7%
Snapchat -> Matrix Bridge
Here are some binary markets of various options. Go wild!
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Vote below: should I resolve all of these markets as N/A since I do not yet have a side project, or should I extend them to end of Q2?
Hey @ArbitrageBot, this is gonna be a group of related markets. I'm not sure you have a great way to handle this setup, but if you do, go wild
Also, feel free to submit other ideas, and if I like them enough I'll make a binary market for them as well. (I mean, you could also make one, but if you don't, I might)
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.