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MANIFOLD
Bounty: Is this a reasonable way to assess my risk re: sperm cryogenesis?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ3
resolved Jul 17
Resolved as
51%
In part I want to make sure that this is available to other people who might need it, but more truthfully I just want someone to check my math and sign off on things The only part of this desmos graph that might seem strange is the integral, but that is just a hack to implement argmax() so I can find the number of attempts that maximizes my reward function divided by cost. I made it flexibly so that parameters can be shifted, but there may be some times where the graph times out and you need to refresh. Additionally, I want to note that I am plotting it for 3 kids even though I plan on having 2 as an additional way to be risk averse. I pulled the CPOS compensation stats (probability medicine gets you to ovulate, odds of early miscarriage) from academic papers I found via search. Costs are known. Equation for "odds of at least c kids" was pulled from MathOverflow https://www.desmos.com/calculator/h4ojciwzhz Reported issues will receive tips proportionate to the severity of the problem and helpfulness in fixing it. I will resolve to MKT
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The (liquidity in this market / math terms in the link) ratio is not looking good.
predictedYES
@NuñoSempere would just adding liquidity to the market make it better?