At my 3 month hormone checkup, will they INCREASE my dosage?
10
7
220
resolved Nov 11
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES iff the doctor increases my dose of either estradiol or spironolactone

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sold Ṁ21 of NO

E up by 100%, Spiro up by 50%

predicted YES
bought Ṁ100 of YES

Per my previous reply on the other market - 2 is very low.

How much E2 are you taking?

predicted NO

If they increase estradiol and decrease spironolactone or vice versa, will both markets resolve YES?

bought Ṁ10 of NO

@Yev correct

bought Ṁ10 of NO

@LivInTheLookingGlass Is there any way for INCREASE and MAINTAIN to both resolve YES?

predicted NO

MAINTAIN = NOT (DECREASE OR INCREASE)

predicted NO

Also, if either medicine is dropped that does count as decrease

predicted NO

If delivery mechanism is changed, I will base resolution on whether the doctor says it will increase or decrease the relevant hormone levels relative to current delivery mechanism. So for example if it went from a 2mg pill to a larger but less frequent injection, and the injection would increase serum estrogen on average, I will resolve that as an increase

predicted NO

For spiro, decrease in serum testosterone implies increase in effective dosage

predicted NO

You had P(MAINTAIN) + P(INCREASE) > 100%, but I corrected it.

At my 3 month hormone checkup, will they INCREASE my dosage?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition