Will we see a POTUS wielding a chainsaw over his head before EOY 2050?

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Ṁ1092

2050

29%

chance

ALL

This is a vibebased market.

It could involve a real chainsaw or a replica. It doesn't have to be functional. This market will resolve as YES if a current POTUS does it. It doesn't matter if it's for a political statement or if the POTUS is a former logger or does it for fun. A mother or father playing with his child and a toy chainsaw would not resolve this market. Former presidents don't count.

The relevant timezone is EST.

I. e. this photo [edit: market] would resolve the market YES, if it was Biden and not Milei:

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#️ Politics

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

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Starting when? For sure Biden and Trump are too old and unfit to wield a chainsaw above their head until 2050. Andrew Yang could do it

@VAPOR by market creation, yesterday.

tbh, I can imagine Trump doing that

@Lion you really think he could keep it over his head until 2050? Like life extension? He is powerful 🇺🇸

@VAPOR 🤣 rule no. 1 on Manifold: If people can find any stupid interpretation of a question, they'll find a stupid interpretation

@Lion oh you mean by EOY 2025, not until

@VAPOR By EOY 2050

@Bayesian I thought it was a little high at 25%

@VAPOR I meant before. Thanks for correcting. I wasn't paying attention.

'By: Usually interpreted as synonymous with "before". Sometimes people use it when they mean "at the end of this period"; this usage is best'avoided.' https://manifoldcommunity.miraheze.org/wiki/Glossary

@Lion it said "until" 2050 though, before works fine though

I want to believe (but tbh it's way more Libertarian vibes)

@shankypanky Don't stop believing in a Libertarian president ... okay, i see my mistake 🤣

I hope this happens

@Rucker 100% ❤

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