Will there be a crash at the newly introduced chicane at Paris-Roubaix 2024 (men)?
18
117
380
resolved Apr 8
Resolved
NO

This market will resolve as N/A if the chicane before La Trouée d'Arenberg isn't part of the race.

This is a vibebased market, and the resolution will be determined by my judgment.

A simple crash, such as someone touching the asphalt, is sufficient. It doesn't have to be horrific.

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@traders The (international/D+) live coverage only showed the front group through this sector. Nothing happened there. We didn't get any live coverage for the riders behind. My cycling X/Twitter account hasn't shown anything yet, which is, under normal circumstances, the best resource for this. If you've seen something, please provide proof within the next 24 hours. Otherwise, this question will be resolved as NO.

@Lion I've extended the closing time for a few more hours. Yesterday, someone from my cycling group was at Arenberg, so I've asked him if he heard anything. I'll resolve the matter when he gets back to me.

If there is a crash, it will probably be in the 2km before this point anyway.

bought Ṁ10 NO

They might still change it, but I think people are overreacting. We don't get a crash on every single 90 degree right turn, and this right turn looks fairly gradual anyway.

bought Ṁ10 NO from 45% to 41%
bought Ṁ10 NO

@Eliza I agree.

@Eliza Horner disagrees ;)