This question will be resolved based on the percentage difference between Donald Trump's results in the 2024 Michigan Republican presidential caucus (March 3rd, 39 delegates) and the 2024 Michigan Republican presidential primary (February 27th, 16 delegates).

For example, if Trump receives 82% at the caucus and 75% at the primary, the question will resolve as 5.00%-10.00%. If Trump receives 70% at the caucus and 75% at the primary, the question will resolve as <0.00%.

To provide some context, the primary is a statewide poll open to every citizen, while the caucus is held during a state party convention and only party members are eligible to vote. This year is a special case due to issues with the primary date, and you can find more information here, here and here.

Moreover, there are numerous issues within the Michigan GOP and its leadership at present, resulting in two conventions, and it isn't 100% certain which convention will be chosen as relevant. I'll go with the official ruling. Details are provided in articles linked here and here, along with a short 2-minute video summarizing the whole topic here.

'But it’s “very likely, if not certain” the national party would seat delegates from Hoekstra’s convention since it has already recognized him as state party chair, Oakland County GOP Chair Vance Patrick said X.'

I will use at least two different sources, such as AP News, WSJ and NYT to verify the results, linking them in the comments. I try to check with local authorities as well.

I might extend the closing time if needed.

The date of the conventions will not affect the outcome. If both conventions don't allocate any delegates due to the current situation or any other reason and are just 'held for fun', this question will be resolved as N/A.

In the unlikely event that the margin lands exactly on x5.00% or x0.00%, this question will be resolved 50:50.

You can view current polls for the primary here, but be aware that these might be inaccurate.

If you have any questions or if any scenarios are unclear, please ask beforehand. Otherwise, I will use my best judgment to resolve this question.

[Warning: I am not an American citizen and do not take any responsibility for any linked articles, my slightly inaccurate summaries on this topic, or research I did. Please do your own. I might slightly change the description due to news and corrections.]