First nation credibly linked to SIM cache found in NY
4
125Ṁ35
2026
15%
China
15%
Russia
15%
North Korea
24%
Iran
31%
Other

This market resolves to the first nation that US government officials or agencies credibly link to the SIM cache discovered in New York in September 2025, if such a link is established before December 1st, 2025.

Context: In September 2025, the Secret Service discovered a network of more than 300 SIM servers and 100,000 SIM cards in the New York area that could have been used to disrupt telecommunications during the UN General Assembly. Officials stated that "early analysis indicates cellular communications between nation-state threat actors and individuals that are known to federal law enforcement."

Resolution criteria:

  • Resolves to the first nation that an official US government source (Secret Service, FBI, DHS, DOJ, White House, etc.) publicly identifies as being linked to the SIM cache operation before December 1st, 2025

  • Resolves to N/A if by December 1st, 2025, no nation has been publicly linked to the operation by US officials

Sources for resolution:

  • Official US government statements, press releases, or reports

  • Major news outlets reporting on official US government statements

Relevant sources: https://www.secretservice.gov/newsroom/releases/2025/09/us-secret-service-dismantles-imminent-telecommunications-threat-new-york

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