As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Why I Transitioned: A Case Study is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
1,000I guess it won't make the top 50 now that it's deleted. I feel sad about it because it was such a good post. I hope the author wasn't getting harassed over it. Fortunately, it's on the Internet Archive for anyone who would still like to read/share it
@CDBiddulph i actually restored it a few days ago. i wasn't aware people had made bets based on its presence, would have been less wishy-washy about keeping it up otherwise.
@FioRosebloom Oh yep, I saw! Thanks for the reminder to sell my position lol. No worries at all.
And thanks for the post, while I'm sure your model isn't 100% correct and doesn't apply to everyone, I found it relatable at least