Will "Why Did Elon Musk Just Offer to Buy Control o..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
1
100Ṁ102027
13%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Why Did Elon Musk Just Offer to Buy Control of OpenAI for $100 Billion? is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "The Eldritch in the 21st century" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "OpenAI Email Archives (from Musk v. Altman)" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "Boycott OpenAI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "What happens if you present 500 people with a..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "What's Going on With OpenAI's Messaging?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
9% chance
Will "Leaving MIRI, Seeking Funding" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
9% chance
Will "Investigating the Chart of the Century: Why i..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "AIs Will Increasingly Attempt Shenanigans" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "How AI Takeover Might Happen in 2 Years" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
43% chance
Will "The Case Against AI Control Research" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
26% chance