
Will "Timaeus's First Four Months" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
8
Ṁ160Ṁ886Feb 1
6%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Timaeus's First Four Months is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "Timaeus in 2024" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
8% chance
Will "The Tale of the Top-Tier Intellect" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Three Months In, Evaluating Three Rationalist..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "That Mad Olympiad" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "5 Things I Learned After 10 Days of Inkhaven" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
7% chance
Will "The News is Never Neglected" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Too Soon" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Short Timelines Don't Devalue Long Horizon Re..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "Scientific breakthroughs of the year" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "The Inkhaven Residency" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
6% chance