Will "This is already your second chance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
4
Ṁ6732026
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post This is already your second chance is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will "The Story of "I Have Been A Good Bing"" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
30% chance
Will "My hour of memoryless lucidity" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
55% chance
Will "Failures in Kindness" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
44% chance
Will "Things I Learned by Spending Five Thousand Ho..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
65% chance
Will "Lessons On How To Get Things Right On The Fir..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
51% chance
Will "Things I Learned by Spending Five Thousand Ho..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
56% chance
Will "Notes from a Prompt Factory" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Response to Aschenbrenner's "Situational Awar..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "There is way too much serendipity" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
83% chance
Will "Timaeus's First Four Months" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance