
Will "The Failed Strategy of Artificial Intelligenc..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
3
100Ṁ402027
10%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post The Failed Strategy of Artificial Intelligence Doomers is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "A breakdown of AI capability levels focused o..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "The Checklist: What Succeeding at AI Safety W..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
36% chance
Will "Four visions of Transformative AI success" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "The Field of AI Alignment: A Postmortem, and ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
28% chance
Will "Introducing AI Lab Watch" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
9% chance
Will "2023 in AI predictions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "AIs Will Increasingly Attempt Shenanigans" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Me, Myself, and AI: the Situational Awareness..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "Contra papers claiming superhuman AI forecasting" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "Overview of strong human intelligence amplifi..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
45% chance