Will "The CIA Poisoned My Dog: Two Stories About Pa..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
4
Ṁ1kṀ6212027
10%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post The CIA Poisoned My Dog: Two Stories About Paranoid Delusions and Damage Control is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will "The Rise of Parasitic AI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
92% chance
Will "The Intelligence Curse" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "The News is Never Neglected" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "AI Induced Psychosis: A shallow investigation" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Some articles in “International Security” tha..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "The Tale of the Top-Tier Intellect" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "The Cats are On To Something" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "SB-1047 Documentary: The Post-Mortem" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "Bentham’s Bulldog is wrong about AI risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "OpenAI #15: More on OpenAI’s Paranoid Lawfare..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
9% chance