Will "Steering GPT-2-XL by adding an activation vector" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
10
150Ṁ325resolved Feb 11
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Steering GPT-2-XL by adding an activation vector is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ24 | |
| 2 | Ṁ22 | |
| 3 | Ṁ19 | |
| 4 | Ṁ15 | |
| 5 | Ṁ0 |
Related questions
Related questions
Will "Getting 50% (SoTA) on ARC-AGI with GPT-4o" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "You can remove GPT2’s LayerNorm by fine-tunin..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "ChatGPT can learn indirect control" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Anthropic release Claude 3, claims >GPT-4 Per..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
5% chance
Will "2023 in AI predictions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Mechanistically Eliciting Latent Behaviors in..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "AIs Will Increasingly Attempt Shenanigans" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Shallow review of technical AI safety, 2024" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "The Dream Machine" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "OthelloGPT learned a bag of heuristics" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance