Will "“Reframing Superintelligence” + LLMs + 4 years" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Plus
1
Ṁ50Feb 1
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post “Reframing Superintelligence” + LLMs + 4 years is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "Significantly Enhancing Adult Intelligence Wi..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
68% chance
Will "Alignment Implications of LLM Successes: a De..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
57% chance
Will "A freshman year during the AI midgame: my app..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
34% chance
Will "Against LLM Reductionism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "AI Timelines" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
79% chance
Will "LLMs Sometimes Generate Purely Negatively-Rei..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "Overview of strong human intelligence amplifi..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
45% chance
Will "AI doom from an LLM-plateau-ist perspective" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "AI Timelines" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
85% chance
Will "A Three-Layer Model of LLM Psychology" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
44% chance