Will "My tentative best guess on how EAs and Ration..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
1
Ṁ1kṀ392resolved Feb 7
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post My tentative best guess on how EAs and Rationalists sometimes turn crazy is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ48 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "EIS XIII: Reflections on Anthropic’s SAE Rese..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "An Extremely Opinionated Annotated List of My..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Key takeaways from our EA and alignment resea..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "Optimistic Assumptions, Longterm Planning, an..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "Lsusr's Rationality Dojo" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "The Leopold Model: Analysis and Reactions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
9% chance
Will "A Selection of Randomly Selected SAE Features" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
5% chance
Will "Priors and Prejudice" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
23% chance
Will "What Goes Without Saying" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
91% chance
Will "2023 in AI predictions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
11% chance