Will "MIRI 2024 Mission and Strategy Update" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Basic
1
Ṁ102026
24%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post MIRI 2024 Mission and Strategy Update is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "MIRI 2024 Communications Strategy" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
26% chance
Will "Shallow review of live agendas in alignment &..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
61% chance
Will "Optimistic Assumptions, Longterm Planning, an..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
34% chance
Will "The Dial of Progress" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "Model, Care, Execution" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "One Day Sooner" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "Davidad's Bold Plan for Alignment: An In-Dept..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Leaving MIRI, Seeking Funding" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
8% chance
Will "Skills from a year of Purposeful Rationality ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "One Day Sooner" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
15% chance