Will "Manifold: If okay AGI, why?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
0
9
Ṁ100
2025
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Manifold: If okay AGI, why? is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
Get Ṁ200 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Will "Fact Finding: Attempting to Reverse-Engineer ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
53% chance
Will "Lessons On How To Get Things Right On The Fir..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
33% chance
Will "What a compute-centric framework says about A..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
34% chance
Will "Gentleness and the artificial Other" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
38% chance
Will "A stylized dialogue on John Wentworth's claim..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
26% chance
Will "Many arguments for AI x-risk are wrong" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "AI Control: Improving Safety Despite Intentio..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
84% chance
Will "Masterpiece" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
29% chance
Will "OpenAI: Facts from a Weekend" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "A rough and incomplete review of some of John..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
24% chance