Will "If you weren't such an idiot..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
2
8
Ṁ40Ṁ120
2026
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post If you weren't such an idiot... is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
Get Ṁ200 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Will "'Empiricism!' as Anti-Epistemology" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
45% chance
Will ""How could I have thought that faster?"" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
59% chance
Will "Things I Learned by Spending Five Thousand Ho..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
48% chance
Will "You Don't Exist, Duncan" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
26% chance
Will "Lessons On How To Get Things Right On The Fir..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
33% chance
Will "Attitudes about Applied Rationality" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
59% chance
Will "Things I Learned by Spending Five Thousand Ho..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
46% chance
Will "There is way too much serendipity" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
78% chance
Will "Against Almost Every Theory of Impact of Inte..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
27% chance