Will "If you weren't such an idiot..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
2
120Ṁ40Feb 1
10%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post If you weren't such an idiot... is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will "The title is reasonable" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
6% chance
Will "This is a review of the reviews" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
8% chance
Will "A non-review of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyon..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "On Devin" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "You are not too "irrational" to know your pre..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
20% chance
Will "An Extremely Opinionated Annotated List of My..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
35% chance
Will "Lsusr's Rationality Dojo" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "What Goes Without Saying" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
30% chance
Will "You don't know how bad most things are nor pr..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
18% chance
Will "Catching AIs red-handed" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
15% chance